Albanian Football Forum

Plako wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 5:11 am

IndritFieri wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:38 am

Dallku wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 2:06 am

Lol no. Just a decade+ of betting experience and watching odds and patterns. For my ideas (which are 8/10 successful) Belgium beating Portugal was more impressive than anything. Spain kinda ruined a very easy perfect day by taking it to extra time. They were always going to win that game.

Tell us who do you have winning this?

Probably Germany or Italy. He's Albanian after all

Lol I'd like to see Italy winning it.

Dallku wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 3:41 pm

RedFootballs wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 10:33 am



What made you pick Switzerland?

Because France were -0.75 goal favorites. Considering the talent differences, everyone and their dog being on France, etc.. France should've been at least 1.5 goal favorites. Anything that looks "too good be true" and too easy for the general public you have to take the other side.

Same reason I took Czechs and Belgium.

Today I hate to say but I think England will eliminate Germany.

Are you implying the games are fixed at a super high level or that there's other top bettors who took Switzerland? I barely saw anyone take them it just wasn't something you'd pick.

It’s just relying on all the experts who watch the games and influence odds.

Aurora Bulkualis wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 6:52 pm It’s just relying on all the experts who watch the games and influence odds.

Majority of the money would still be on France though, no? Casuals make up a much bigger proportion

Dallku rings in with another pick. England 2-0 Germany.

England playing all games in wembley. Home advantage plays a role here.

By the way group of death is dead.

Either Belgium or Switzerland will win this Euros

RedFootballs wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 9:09 pm Either Belgium or Switzerland will win this Euros

Both have a lot of absences and injuries. Xhaka is out for next game. Hazard and maybe De Bruyne are out.

Brilliant display from England!

The only team left yet to concede a goal. With the victory, they are now favored to win outright (200), ahead of Spain (300) and Italy (400).

There’s only one Jack Grealish! Terrific assist to set up Kane and seal the deal. It was a key substitution as Saka was noticeably struggling.

Let’s go England!

RedFootballs wrote: Tue Jun 29, 2021 5:38 pm

Are you implying the games are fixed at a super high level or that there's other top bettors who took Switzerland? I barely saw anyone take them it just wasn't something you'd pick.

Don't think they are fixed but it's good to be cynical and believe that these oddsmakers know the results. How do they know?? Maybe analytics, data or whatever. Now that you have this in the back of your mind keep in mind that they're trying to sell you(general public) a product and make profit. Only way they can do that is by beating you by outsmarting you. Also keep in mind that most people will rather bet on favorites/better teams because that's easier and safer in hindsight.

Most people disagree with this mentality and think these books are just looking for 50/50 action. I think that's bullshit but it's just me looking at patterns throughout the years.

This doesn't work in every game though. You have to pick your spots... For example when Barcelona plays Levante with Messi and co and they are only a 1 goal favorite then you better take Levante. Barcelona would normally be -2.5 favorites against them -- That's when you stay away unless you want to bet on a 50/50.

VAR ruining what is left of football.

Danielson made a successful play at the ball but is given a red on review. Shameful..